The first-ever email-based forecasting tournament. Ran from August 2022 until May 2024. No longer publishing.
Founder of Nonrival, the newsletter where readers make predictions about business, tech, and politics. Freelance editor & writer. Contributing editor at Harvard Business Review, former executive editor at Quartz.
Data-driven Insights on Economics, Business, Finance, and Public Policy.
Actionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting. Paid subscribers receive Superforecasting the Week Ahead, our premium weekly roundup of the most important Superforecasts shaping the week ahead.