My personal Substack
pessimist bc of game theory + optimist bc of collective intelligence
The best of what's new at Manifold Markets
Actionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting
P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary.
Long-form essays about how technology, law, and economics affect the music industry.
global monetary mechanics