1000+
paid subscribers
39K+
free subscribers

Escalation Trap

About the Substack

Escalation Trap tracks the trajectory of the Iran war in real time, equipping you with frameworks to recognize shifts in escalation, anticipate what comes next, and understand the strategic and economic consequences before they become conventional wisdom.

Free Subscription Benefits

  • Occasional public posts

Paid Subcription Benefits

  • Biweekly Strategic Escalation Zoom Briefings (Live, Limited to 100) in active military or political violence escalation periods with subscriber Q/A
  • Weekly strategic forecast, Forecast Scorecard, and deep analysis of mechanisms of escalation as well as occassional Breaking Analysis of critical events during the week.
  • 48-Hour Emergency Briefing Trigger Zooms, if major escalation such as ground deployment, mass-casualty attack, or nuclear signaling

Paid Subscription Plans

  • $15 a month
  • $150 a year

About Prof Robert Pape

I teach at the University of Chicago and study how force is used to achieve political objectives, how escalation unfolds, and how strategies of restraint can succeed or fail in international and American political violence.

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