Bad Bets

Bad Bets

About the Substack

ESPN tells you what happened. Bad Bets tells you what to do about it. A free model across MLB, NBA, WNBA, CFB and NFL — every pick public, every result graded. Daily edges + live shot charts: badbets.io.

Free Subscription Benefits

• Occasional public posts

Paid Subcription Benefits

• Subscriber-only posts and full archive
• Post comments and join the community

Paid Subscription Plans

• $10 a month
• $100 a year

About Bad Bets

A quantitative MLB model, graded in public every single day. We price all 15 games against the de-vigged market, post the edges each morning, and grade every pick — including the misses. Not picks. Prices. ⚾